The federal legislature is too close to call, the results aren't all in for the Senate and House
Results that Democrats like
Fetterman won in PA
Hochul won governor New York over Zeldin
Ralph Warnock beat Herschel Walker. But there’s going to be a runoff because it was close.
Letitia James has won her reelection as New York’s Attorney General.
Whitmer remains in Michigan. Democrats won control of both the Michigan state Senate and Michigan state House. Democrats will now have full control of Michigan state government.
Governor Evers won in Wisconsin and Republicans didn't get a super majority.
Chuck Schumer has won his senate reelection in New York.
Maura Healy won in Massachusetts
Democrats have flipped the entire State Senate of Minnesota
Mary Peltola beat Sarah Palin in Alaska for the 3rd time in a Republican state.
Kari Lake lost in Arizona to Katie Hobbs in Governor race.
Dough Mastriano lost to Josh Shapiro in PA governor race.
Democrat Greg Landsman in Ohio has been elected to Congress. This is a FLIP. Seat was previously held by Republicans.
Obama lost 63
Clinton lost 52
Reagan lost 26
Carter lost 15
Biden’s house is a dead heat.
Results that Republicans like
DeSantis won in Florida
Abbott won in Texas
Huckabee won in Arkansas
Brian Kemp won in Georgia over Stacy Abrams.
Ron Johnson won in Wisconsin
JD Vance beat Tim Ryan in Ohio
Marco Rubio beat Val Demings in Florida
Marjorie Taylor Greene won in Georgia
Boebert: Looks like she lost by 73 votes. Now they're saying Bobo won by 1,776 votes. Right now google says she won by 1,122 votes. In the recount they're fixing ballots, so it's not clear if she's going to win or not. But right now (11/15/22) she's in the lead 124 votes. Now it’s 615? (11/17/22) 11/18 it’s over 500 with 99% reporting.
My big question is if Trump decides not to run, can Biden pull off a win where he would be 81 to start a 4 year term. I think he wins if Trump Runs. But anyone else, and it's a question. And if that's true, who's going to challenge Biden in the democratic primary? Here is my list so far and reasons why they're no good:
Pete Buttigieg: would whip up the opposition base with homophobia.
Beto O'Rourke: Lost too much.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: Seen as too far left.
Michael Bennet: Unknown
Raphael Warnock: Black. I'd like to live in the world where that didn't matter, but Obama had to be perfect. You can only have so many strikes against you, before you need the most impossible resume to overcome it.
Tim Ryan: lost
Jared Polis: From liberal Boulder
Charlie Baker: From liberal Massachusetts
Larry Hogan: Where is Maryland?
John Bel Edwards: Southern white democrat, married, Catholic. Small time state Louisiana.
Bernie Sanders: Seen as too far left, party sabotages
Katie Porter: Californian
Stacy Abrams: Lost
Gavin Newsom: Least strikes against as far as I can tell.
Cory Booker: Too woke
Michael Bloomberg: Too center/right
Adam Schiff: Could whip up opposition base with his work
Elizabeth Warren: 73
I think the first woman president will be a Republican because Democrats like representation and it won't whip up the base, but that's not true the other way around. If Biden is too old, there must be a young candidate. I think the best candidate is a hetrosexual Christian male, not too far left. I think a strategy for democrats is to run someone who whips up the least amount of ire among republicans. Of course the best person should run, but they have to have a lot of qualities. They have to have charisma and whip up the democrat base. They have to not whip up the republican base. Any deviation from the norm can be exploited. I think that really limits the amount of talent, but it is what it is. I want to live in the ideal world where republicans can't exploit sexuality, race, gender, but alas, we're not always engaging with the best of humanity, we have to account for the worst in humanity.
Gavin Newsom (55) struggled with alcoholism before he got married a second time in 2008, went to treatment. That doesn't disqualify him for me. Bush was a dry alcoholic. Just trying to sniff out any problems. He's from a big state. He's pretty middle of the road even if he went on Jimmy Kimmel, which just makes fun of the right, but in this hyper partisan world making fun of the right makes you far left.
Turns out Newsom's wife was raped by Weinstein or "I’m just this blow-up doll that he’s just trying to masturbate off of." (NY Post) Of course the Post is the one to break that story. She testified at his ongoing trail.
12/29/22: "the Democratic governor of California, Gavin Newsom, announced he would not run, regardless of President Joe Biden’s plans." Politico
(last updated 1/1/23)
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